Six takeaways from Trump’s victory: Polls, false surprises and crypto millionaires
EL PAÍS data expert Kiko Llaneras share his insights into the 2024 election, political forecasting and why the Republican is consistently underestimated
Who voted for Trump? The Republican’s supporters by age, sex and race
The real estate magnate made decisive gains among Latinos, women and voters without a college degree
A visual guide to understanding the deadly floods in Spain
The storm delivered a year’s worth of rainfall in just a few hours. The unprecedented downpour overwhelmed rivers, leaving a trail of destruction in its wake
How do I use AI? Eight real-world examples two years on from ChatGPT
A study in the US says that 24% of workers are already using generative AI. Data expert Kiko Llaneras explains how he uses the technology
US polls: Harris ahead of Trump for third week in a row
The Democratic candidate is the favorite for most pollsters, but the race against the former president is still very close
Olympic medal table by population and wealth: Which countries fared the best at the Paris Games?
A number of Caribbean countries achieved extraordinary results, considering their size and GDP, while France has once again proved the ‘host effect’
Who won the Venezuelan election? Opposition data is more verifiable than the official figures
The lack of transparency has made it extremely difficult to verify the results. But the opposition has so far presented more detailed information and allowed its numbers to be scrutinized, which gives them more credibility
Who is going to win the Copa América? This is what our statistical model predicts
EL PAÍS predicts the outcome of the tournament, in which Argentina and Brazil start as favorites, although in one out of every three simulations another team will win. Predictions are updated every day
Who is going to win the European Championship? This is what our statistical model predicts
EL PAÍS once again predicts the outcome of the tournament. France and England start as favorites, although 60% of the time another team will win. Predictions are updated every day
What will happen to Trump? How the polls have responded to his legal battles
The former president is facing a long list of trials, but support for the Republican has barely wavered
Who do Taylor Swift fans vote for? A breakdown of Swifties by gender, age and ideology
Amid the speculation that the singer will endorse Democrat Joe Biden in an election against Donald Trump, EL PAÍS data expert Kiko Llaneras reviews what exactly is known about the artist’s followers
Predictions for 2024: Trump, Biden, bitcoin, X bankruptcy, Barbie and Taylor Swift
Kiko Llaneras’ predictions for the coming year, covering world elections, economy, technology, entertainment and geopolitics
The world is not getting worse, it’s getting better: 35 good news stories to start 2024 with optimism
EL PAÍS data expert Kiko Llaneras has put together a list of data points that show that — contrary to what we may believe — we are making progress in a number of important areas
Who will win Spain’s national election on Sunday? This is what the polls are saying
The following is the prediction of seats and majorities of our statistical model, based on polls and 15,000 simulations. The most likely outcome is that PP and Vox will have a majority (55% of the time), but it would not be entirely surprising to see a tight result and a left-wing government
What the polls are saying about Spain’s upcoming national election
Although the most likely outcome is a right-wing majority, the ruling Socialists are gaining some ground and a left-wing alliance could eat into the conservatives’ lead
ChatGPT is just the beginning: Artificial intelligence is ready to transform the world
New chatbots capable of generating text and images from a few, simple prompts provide glimpses of how AI could change the workplace, education, superpower relations and our daily lives
Qatar World Cup 2022: Leo Messi’s title-winning tournament in statistics
After several disappointments at international level, the Argentina forward has now lifted the Copa América and become a world champion in the space of a year and a half
Who will win the Qatar World Cup? Predict the winner with this simulator
EL PAÍS is using a statistical model to determine the results of the soccer tournament. The probabilities will be updated every day following each game
Who is going to win the US midterm elections according to the polls?
Prediction experts are putting Republicans ahead, giving them better odds of taking control of the House and perhaps also the Senate, although it is not a foregone conclusion
How Italy voted in the election, region by region
The right-wing coalition, led by the Brothers of Italy part, triumphed at the polls, and according to projections, should have a solid majority in both houses of parliament
Rafael Nadal, God on Earth: The statistics that prove his complete dominance
Since the Spanish tennis player first emerged on the scene, he has practically owned Roland Garros, losing only three titles out of 18. He has won 91% of the highest-level matches on clay, more than Federer on grass (89%) and Djokovic on hard court ( 85%)
Real Madrid’s brutal streak in the Champions League: statistically mind-blowing too
The white team defies probability, winning eight consecutive finals, a 1-in-200 chance, making us question how this impossible triumph is becoming their norm
Twitter cannot be solved, @ElonMusk
Social networks require a balance between freedom and moderation. We will soon find out if Musk knows this: is he aware of the juggling required to keep Twitter functioning, or does he bring the audacity of a savior?
The Ukraine war as of April 13: Russia prepares to intensify Donbas offensive
Moscow continued its attacks in the areas of Severodonetsk, Izyum, Mariupol and Kherson while it worked on ironing out logistical issues and reconstituting the forces it withdrew from Kyiv
The Ukraine war as of April 8: Dozens reported dead in new offensive in the east
Russia struck a crowded train station in Kramatorsk, killing over 30 and injuring more than 100, according to local authorities. The attack may be the start of a larger assault on the eastern Donbas region
The Ukraine war as of April 1: The counteroffensive makes gains in Kyiv and Kherson
Two Ukrainian helicopters reportedly struck an oil depot in the Russian city of Belgorod, around 20 miles from the border
Is it possible to predict the future of the war in Ukraine? Online forecasting communities think so
The predictions of these internet groups are being closely followed, with one Belarusian man even fleeing the Ukrainian capital of Kyiv thanks to their estimates