
Who will win the World Cup? Here are our predictions
EL PAÍS’s statistical model predicts that Spain is the favorite but the 2010 champion only wins one out of every six times on our simulator. Check out our updated odds for each team

EL PAÍS’s statistical model predicts that Spain is the favorite but the 2010 champion only wins one out of every six times on our simulator. Check out our updated odds for each team
The WHO’s main hypothesis is that patient zero was infected on land and passed the virus to other people on board

Something extraordinary has happened, even if we haven’t fully realized it yet: algorithms are now capable of solving intellectual tasks. These models are not replicas of human intelligence. Their intelligence is limited, different, and — curiously — turns out to work in a way that resembles intuition. This is one of the seven lessons we’ve learned so far about them and about ourselves

Trump has confirmed the ‘large-scale’ operation and announced the capture of Nicolás Maduro

EL PAÍS data expert Kiko Llaneras has put together a list of data points that show that — contrary to what we may believe — advances are being made in a number of important areas

More than two million New Yorkers went to the polls, marking the city’s highest voter turnout in two decades

Jamaica, Haiti, the Dominican Republic, Cuba, the Bahamas, and the Turks and Caicos Islands are expected to bear the brunt of the storm

The debate is warranted, as the data show genuine disparities. They also highlight a deeper reason: Spain’s growth is no longer what it used to be

Interesting facts about entertainment, housing, robots, inequality, and an extinct flu

The console exists thanks to a complex global network: designed in Japan, manufactured in Vietnam, and powered by a US-made processor. We took it apart piece by piece

The Republican’s return to the White House has destabilized markets and diplomatic relations

The era of artificial intelligence has already begun and we talk more about its risks than its possibilities. Can we allow ourselves to be optimistic?

EL PAÍS data expert Kiko Llaneras share his insights into the 2024 election, political forecasting and why the Republican is consistently underestimated

The real estate magnate made decisive gains among Latinos, women and voters without a college degree

The storm delivered a year’s worth of rainfall in just a few hours. The unprecedented downpour overwhelmed rivers, leaving a trail of destruction in its wake

A study in the US says that 24% of workers are already using generative AI. Data expert Kiko Llaneras explains how he uses the technology

The Democratic candidate is the favorite for most pollsters, but the race against the former president is still very close

A number of Caribbean countries achieved extraordinary results, considering their size and GDP, while France has once again proved the ‘host effect’

The lack of transparency has made it extremely difficult to verify the results. But the opposition has so far presented more detailed information and allowed its numbers to be scrutinized, which gives them more credibility

EL PAÍS predicts the outcome of the tournament, in which Argentina and Brazil start as favorites, although in one out of every three simulations another team will win. Predictions are updated every day

EL PAÍS once again predicts the outcome of the tournament. France and England start as favorites, although 60% of the time another team will win. Predictions are updated every day

The former president is facing a long list of trials, but support for the Republican has barely wavered

Amid the speculation that the singer will endorse Democrat Joe Biden in an election against Donald Trump, EL PAÍS data expert Kiko Llaneras reviews what exactly is known about the artist’s followers
Kiko Llaneras’ predictions for the coming year, covering world elections, economy, technology, entertainment and geopolitics

EL PAÍS data expert Kiko Llaneras has put together a list of data points that show that — contrary to what we may believe — we are making progress in a number of important areas

The following is the prediction of seats and majorities of our statistical model, based on polls and 15,000 simulations. The most likely outcome is that PP and Vox will have a majority (55% of the time), but it would not be entirely surprising to see a tight result and a left-wing government

Although the most likely outcome is a right-wing majority, the ruling Socialists are gaining some ground and a left-wing alliance could eat into the conservatives’ lead