Spain: one person, one vote?
Designed to prevent the cities from dominating politics, the country’s electoral system benefits a two-party system
Among the electoral requirements outlined by the Spanish Constitution are universal suffrage, freedom of choice, equality, and a direct and secret vote. But the Spanish system also produces a number of imbalances, notably that some votes carry more weight than others, depending on where in Spain they are cast. For a political party to secure a seat in Spain’s Congress, two plus two votes do not always add up to four, but instead can result in three, or eight. What’s more, this imbalance is built into the system.
Recent polls show that 80% of the population wants reform of Spain’s electoral system in order to give greater proportionality between the number of overall votes a party receives and the number of seats it wins in Congress, even if such a system makes it more difficult to form governments.
Based on the last general elections in December 2015, it should take around 72,000 votes for a party to win a seat in Congress: that’s 25.3 million votes divided by the 350 seats in Congress, give or take a few thousand. But in reality, only a dozen or so of Spain’s 50 provinces (plus the Moroccan exclaves of Ceuta and Melilla), actually operate on this basis. For example, Cadiz, where at the last poll, each of the nine representatives that won a seat in Congress garnered 72,246. At either end of the extreme, in Madrid a seat in Congress required 100,748 votes, while in the rural province of Soria, in north-central Spain, it was worth just 25,986 votes.
To prevent the country’s cities from dominating politics, the Spanish Constitution implemented major restrictions on proportional representation
How is it possible that votes in Soria are worth four times those in Madrid?
The problem is rooted in the proportional representation system that Spanish legislators set up in 1977 as the country returned to democracy after 40 years of dictatorship, and that was then implemented into law in 1985. A 1985 Constitutional Court mentions the “desire” to balance the number of votes a party wins with the number of seats it is awarded in Congress. Proportionality is thus understood more as a goal than a strict mathematical rule. And the party in power has the flexibility to decide just how proportional the vote is.
The thinking behind the decisions made almost four decades ago were aimed at balancing out Spain’s unbalanced demographics. To avoid marginalizing rural areas and to prevent the country’s cities from dominating politics, the Spanish Constitution implemented major restrictions on proportional representation, notably by establishing that each of Spain's 50 provinces is a constituency and entitled to an initial minimum of two seats, and that there would be between 300 and 400 seats in Congress. Boosting the weight of Huesca and Guadalajara at the expense of Madrid and Barcelona was seen as a way of balancing a demographic imbalance in terms of representation.
The effects of this imbalance have, until now, favored the two main parties, which have a strong presence in rural areas. But the appearance of two major new political forces at the national level makes it increasingly difficult to justify the system of the last four decades. The four main parties take 85% of the vote, with none able to garner more than 30% and none with less than 10%.
In the final analysis, it isn’t the D’hondt proportional representation system that is responsible for the imbalances of the Spanish electoral system per se, but instead its asymmetric application to Spain’s 52 constituencies. A certain amount of flexibility in establishing proportional representation is no bad thing, but in the case of Spain will require work to make the system fairer.
Francisco Camas García is an analyst at Metroscopia.
English version by Nick Lyne.
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