House prices rise on quarterly basis for first time in three years
But market still down on an annual basis and experts doubt prices have bottomed out
House prices in Spain rose on a quarterly basis for the first time since the middle of 2010 in the third quarter of this year, but experts were quick to point out that this does not mean that the housing market has started to emerge from trough it plunged into around the start of 2008.
According to figures released Monday by the National Statistics Institute (INE), house prices climbed 0.7 percent in the period July-September from the previous three months.
Prices on average have fallen over 40 percent from their highs around the end of 2007 after more than doubling over the course of a decade-long boom that turned to bust.
“These figures could give the false impression that prices have bottomed out when all of the fundamentals of the market continue to indicate otherwise,” said Fernando Encinar, the head of research at leading real estate website idealista.com. “An excess of euphoria in this regard could further delay the necessary correction in prices, with the consequent delay in the recovery of the sector,” he added.
The INE said last week that home sales in October declined 10 percent from the same month a year earlier to 22,770, the lowest figure since March and one of the lowest since the real estate bubble burst.
Although the economy emerged from an extended recession in the third quarter of this year, a jobless rate of 26 percent remains a major impediment to a recovery in the housing market, which still has an estimated glut of some 600,000 housing units. Banks have also tightened up on lending, citing a lack of “solvent demand.”
Would-be home buyers are finding it hard to secure the necessary funding at current prices and seven out of 10 transactions taking place are in cash.
Prices of existing homes climbed 0.1 percent in the third quarter from the second, while new homes rose 2.3 percent. On an annual basis, house prices were down 7.9 percent after dropping 12.0 percent in the second quarter. New homes declined 7.9 percent and existing homes 8.0 percent.
According to figures also released Monday by the Public Works Ministry, average urban land prices dropped 12.4 percent from a year earlier to 147.4 euros per square meter, the lowest price since 2004.
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